The SplitThe first thing a buyer does is cut your revenue in two
Before an acquirer looks at profit, growth or anything else, it separates your revenue into contracted and uncontracted. Contracted means income that arrives because a signed agreement says a visit happens: alarm servicing under BS 5839-1, extinguisher maintenance under BS 5306-3, emergency lighting testing under BS 5266-1, fire door inspection rounds. Uncontracted means installation, remedial and reactive callout work, however loyal the client.
The distinction is not about how reliable the money has been. It is about what survives a change of ownership. A service agreement with a renewal date and a notice period is an asset a buyer can model for three years. A stream of install work that arrives because the client trusts you personally is a relationship, and relationships do not appear on a completion statement.
This is why turnover on its own tells an acquirer almost nothing here. A £1.2m business that is two thirds contracted servicing is a different proposition from a £1.2m business that is two thirds project work, and it is usually the one with less revenue growth that carries the higher multiple.
A service agreement with a renewal date is an asset a buyer can model. Install work that arrives because the client trusts you is a relationship, and relationships do not appear on a completion statement.
The QualityNot all recurring income is read the same way
Once the recurring column is established, a buyer reads its quality, and four things decide that. Renewal history is the first: what percentage of the base renewed each year for the last three, and where the losses went. Contract length and notice period is the second, because a twelve month agreement with one month's notice is weaker than a three year agreement with a six month notice period, even at the same annual value.
The third factor is customer concentration, and it is the one that surprises owners most. A book where the largest client is a fifth of contracted income carries a discount, because the buyer is modelling what happens if that client re-tenders in year two. Spread is worth money in its own right.
Price escalation deserves a line of its own. Agreements carrying an index-linked or stated annual uplift protect the margin a buyer is modelling forward; agreements held flat for six years do not, and the acquirer assumes it inherits the awkward conversation about putting them right. It is a small clause with a measurable effect on what the book is worth.
The fourth is documentation, and it is the one most within your control. Agreements that exist as a signed schedule with scope, site list, visit frequency, price and renewal terms are worth more than the same work done for twenty years on a purchase order and a handshake. The work is identical. The evidence is not, and the buyer is paying for the evidence.
The ConsequenceWhat this means for a business you might sell in two or three years
If the ratio is the thing being priced, the ratio is the thing to work on, and it moves slowly enough that two or three years is the right horizon. Converting reactive clients onto scheduled agreements is the ordinary route, and in this sector it is an easy conversation: the underlying duty on the client under the Regulatory Reform (Fire Safety) Order 2005 does not go away, so a planned regime is genuinely in their interest as well as yours.
Take the documentation seriously at the same time. Every agreement in one schedule, with client, sites, scope, visit frequency, annual value, renewal date and notice period. That schedule is the single most useful document in a fire safety sale, and the businesses that already maintain it move through diligence in a fraction of the time.
Watch the direction of travel as well as the level. A contracted share that has risen across three years reads as a business somebody has deliberately built; one that has fallen while turnover grew reads as an installation run, which a buyer discounts because it may not repeat. Three years of the split, shown plainly, answers that question before anyone has to ask it.
None of this requires a decision about selling. A business with a higher contracted share, longer agreements and a documented base is easier to run, easier to finance and easier to hand over, whether that handover happens in three years or never.
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